Delay Discounting
Open Access

Delay Discounting

We choose smaller, more immediate rewards over greater ones that we need to wait for

Would you prefer $100 now or $120 in a year? But what about $100 in 4 years or $120 in 5? Despite the same time gap, did your choices differ?

Green, Fry & Myerson (1994). Discounting of delayed rewards: A life-span comparison. Psychological science.

The study

Impact

The problem

Potential impact

The study

The studies

Setup

Setup

36 children, young adults and adults were asked to choose between a delayed reward of $1,000 and a number of smaller ones now.

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Results

Results

All were quick to accept smaller rewards now over a larger delayed one. The longer the delay, the less perceived value the reward had, so $1,000 next week felt equal to $900 today but $1,000 in five years felt like $600 today.

Study graph

Setup

36 children, young adults and adults were asked to choose between a delayed reward of $1,000 and a number of smaller ones now.

Results

All were quick to accept smaller rewards now over a larger delayed one. The longer the delay, the less perceived value the reward had, so $1,000 next week felt equal to $900 today but $1,000 in five years felt like $600 today.

Study graph

Setup

Results

Study graph

Setup

Results

Study graph

Setup

Results

Study graph
np_read_2490885_000000

Jerome's Expert View

Key Takeaways

1
1

Embrace the power of now.

Immediate gains are valued more greatly than those far off. Similarly, far-off costs seem less painful. Amazon heighten the immediate gain by taking a hit now, for longer term business payoff.

Where in your business can you capitalize upon 'the now'?

Takeaway image
2
2

Prevent impulsive financial or health decisions by:

Reframing future rewards around time (by stating a specific date) or by surfacing the painful zero outcomes of short-term choices (Wu & He, 2012).

Goal Priming. Painting a vivid, personal, emotional picture of someone's future reality will boost their ability to make longer-term decisions now.

Takeaway image
3
3

Dissuade from inferior choices today with a lock-in for tomorrow

This is when a choice now locks in a set of future inferior outcomes, aggregating any gains and forcing a stronger consideration of less impulsive choices. 

Takeaway image
4
4
Takeaway image
Takeaway image

Boundary conditions

No items found.

Future questions

No items found.
np_read_2490885_000000

Green, Fry & Myerson (1994). Discounting of delayed rewards: A life-span comparison. Psychological science.

Delay Discounting

Delay Discounting

We choose smaller, more immediate rewards over greater ones that we need to wait for

Would you prefer $100 now or $120 in a year? But what about $100 in 4 years or $120 in 5? Despite the same time gap, did your choices differ?

The study

Setup

36 children, young adults and adults were asked to choose between a delayed reward of $1,000 and a number of smaller ones now.

Results

All were quick to accept smaller rewards now over a larger delayed one. The longer the delay, the less perceived value the reward had, so $1,000 next week felt equal to $900 today but $1,000 in five years felt like $600 today.

study graph

Green, Fry & Myerson (1994). Discounting of delayed rewards: A life-span comparison. Psychological science.

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Nuggets

Snack on these...

Open access, foundational Nuggets

Scarcity

Scarcity

We value things more when they’re in limited supply

Social Proof

Social Proof

We copy the behaviors of others, especially in unfamiliar situations

Prospect Theory

Prospect Theory

A loss hurts more than an equal gain feels good

Reciprocity

Reciprocity

We’re hardwired to return kindness received

Framing

Framing

We make very different decisions based on how a fact is presented

Loss Aversion

Loss Aversion

We feel more negative when losing something than positive when we get it

Self-Expression

Self-Expression

We constantly seek out ways to communicate our identity to others

Default Effect

Default Effect

We tend to accept the option pre-chosen for us

Priming

Priming

Our decisions are shaped by memories recalled from things just seen or heard

Anchoring

Anchoring

What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter

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© 2013-24 Coglode
Nuggets

Snack on these...

Open access, foundational Nuggets

Scarcity

Scarcity

We value things more when they’re in limited supply

Social Proof

Social Proof

We copy the behaviors of others, especially in unfamiliar situations

Prospect Theory

Prospect Theory

A loss hurts more than an equal gain feels good

Reciprocity

Reciprocity

We’re hardwired to return kindness received

Framing

Framing

We make very different decisions based on how a fact is presented

Loss Aversion

Loss Aversion

We feel more negative when losing something than positive when we get it

Self-Expression

Self-Expression

We constantly seek out ways to communicate our identity to others

Default Effect

Default Effect

We tend to accept the option pre-chosen for us

Priming

Priming

Our decisions are shaped by memories recalled from things just seen or heard

Anchoring

Anchoring

What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter

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